Optimist (1 gold, 3 medals): In some order, Noelle Pikus-Pace and Katie Uhlaender match the 1-2 finish of 2002. John Daly, whose 4th in the 2013 Sochi race matched his World Cup career best, snags a medal.
Pessimist (1 medal): Either Pikus-Pace or Uhlaender makes the podium.
*Optimist (0): Erin Hamlin, the 2009 world champion on home ice, or Julia Clukey would surprise just by making the top five.
Pessimist (0): No one cracks the top eight.
*Short Track Speed Skating (6 medals)
Optimist (1 gold, 4 medals): J.R. Celski looks as he did early in the 2012-13 season, wins 500 and gets medal in 1,500. Apolo Ohno returns to help win relay medal. Lana Gehring recaptures her 2011-12 form and gets a medal in 1,500.
Pessimist (0): Burdened by lingering effects of the controversies that shredded the team last season, leaving it with no medals at the 2013 worlds.
*Long Track Speedskating (1 gold, 4 medals)
Optimist (3 gold, 6 medals): In likely his Olympic last hurrah, Shani Davis wins a third straight 1,000 gold, a third straight 1,500 medal and leads the U.S. to gold in team pursuit. Brian Hansen scores bronze in 1,500. Heather Richardson wins the 1,000, and Brittany Bowe gets a medal in either the 1,000 or 1,500.
Pessimist (3 medals): Davis gets a medal in the 1,000. Richardson and Bowe each win medal.
Corrections: An earlier version of this story contained erroneous information about the style of the cross-country skiing sprint events and had skeleton racer Noelle Pikus-Pace identified as Nicole Pikus-Pace. The individual event is freestyle, the team event classic style.