Chris Dufresne / On College Football

Law of probability may catch up to some college football unbeatens

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Tennessee at Georgia (4-0): Georgia is the better team, but how long can the Bulldogs keep scoring 40 or more points?

Louisiana Tech (3-0) at Virginia: Louisiana Tech can't understand why it's not in the top 25 as the only team to score 50 or more in every game. Virginia is coming off consecutive road defeats but is 2-0 in Charlottesville with a win over Penn State.

Texas San Antonio (4-0) at New Mexico State: Four-and-0 sounds great, but two of the Ws came against schools we didn't know existed — Texas A&M Commerce and Northwestern Oklahoma State.

•Texas Christian (3-0) at Southern Methodist: Don't forget SMU handed TCU one of it its two losses last season, and that game was in Fort Worth.

High

Oregon State (2-0) at Arizona: Oregon State and Oregon are the last Pac-12 unbeatens left standing, but that could change with this tough Tucson trip. Arizona's 49-0 loss at Oregon last week was misleading in that it was only 13-0 at halftime and the Wildcats failed to score six times in the red zone.

Minnesota (4-0) at Iowa: The Gophers have overachieved while the Hawkeyes are a 2-2 mess coming off a home loss against Central Michigan. We think that makes Iowa more desperate.

• Texas (3-0) at Oklahoma State: Texas leads the all-time series, 22-4, and has lost only once in Stillwater, but we don't need to tell Longhorns fans they should be on high alert.

Ohio State (4-0) at Michigan State: The Buckeyes are lucky to be unbeaten, but maybe the luck ends in East Lansing.

Cincinnati (2-0) vs. Virginia Tech: Bearcats all the way, right? Virginia Tech lost to Pittsburgh and Cincinnati defeated Pitt. Wrong. Virginia Tech, rightly so, is a touchdown favorite at this not-so-neutral-field game at Landover, Md.

chris.dufresne@latimes.com

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